Neural Variational Inference For Estimating Uncertainty in Knowledge Graph Embeddings

Recent advances in Neural Variational Inference allowed for a renaissance in latent variable models in a variety of domains involving high-dimensional data. While traditional variational methods derive an analytical approximation for the intractable distribution over the latent variables, here we construct an inference network conditioned on the symbolic representation of entities and relation types in the Knowledge Graph, to provide the variational distributions. The new framework results in a highly-scalable method. Under a Bernoulli sampling framework, we provide an alternative justification for commonly used techniques in large-scale stochastic variational inference, which drastically reduce training time at a cost of an additional approximation to the variational lower bound. We introduce two models from this highly scalable probabilistic framework, namely the Latent Information and Latent Fact models, for reasoning over knowledge graph-based representations. Our Latent Information and Latent Fact models improve upon baseline performance under certain conditions. We use the learnt embedding variance to estimate predictive uncertainty during link prediction, and discuss the quality of these learnt uncertainty estimates. Our source code and datasets are publicly available online at https://github.com/alexanderimanicowenrivers/Neural-Variational-Knowledge-Graphs.Comment: Accepted at IJCAI 19 Neural-Symbolic Learning and Reasoning Worksho

Sauté RL: Almost Surely Safe Reinforcement Learning Using State Augmentation

Satisfying safety constraints almost surely (or with probability one) can be critical for the deployment of Reinforcement Learning (RL) in real-life applications. For example, plane landing and take-off should ideally occur with probability one. We address the problem by introducing Safety Augmented (Saute) Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the safety constraints are eliminated by augmenting them into the state-space and reshaping the objective. We show that Saute MDP satisfies the Bellman equation and moves us closer to solving Safe RL with constraints satisfied almost surely. We argue that Saute MDP allows viewing the Safe RL problem from a different perspective enabling new features. For instance, our approach has a plug-and-play nature, i.e., any RL algorithm can be "Sauteed”. Additionally, state augmentation allows for policy generalization across safety constraints. We finally show that Saute RL algorithms can outperform their state-of-the-art counterparts when constraint satisfaction is of high importance

An Empirical Study of Assumptions in Bayesian Optimisation

Inspired by the increasing desire to efficiently tune machine learning hyper-parameters, in this work we rigorously analyse conventional and non-conventional assumptions inherent to Bayesian optimisation. Across an extensive set of experiments we conclude that: 1) the majority of hyper-parameter tuning tasks exhibit heteroscedasticity and non-stationarity, 2) multi-objective acquisition ensembles with Pareto-front solutions significantly improve queried configurations, and 3) robust acquisition maximisation affords empirical advantages relative to its non-robust counterparts. We hope these findings may serve as guiding principles, both for practitioners and for further research in the field